Knowledge of optimal monetary policy and frequently the rules of optimization in flexible inflation targeting assign central banks the task of developing all types of cyclical policies. The goal of optimal inflation policy is to achieve macroeconomic stability and stimulate sustainable economic growth. To determine the amount of monetary policy associated with the rule of monetary policy and to establish the proposed optimal inflation target, we use the DSGE econometric model. The relationship between r (refinancing rate) and the optimal inflation target has a downward slope. Although the growth of the optimal inflation level is smaller than the decrease in r, it has been found that in areas with current empirical significance, the slope of the relationship is close to -1. This angle parameter is sufficient to ensure uncertainty. It was found that in strategies such as price level setting and their diversity, the optimal inflation target is significantly lower and less sensitive to r."*
This article examines the impact of inflation on the purchasing power of the population, as well as the consequences of this process for households of various social groups. Based on the analysis of existing literature and our own research, the main causes of inflation, its impact on real incomes of citizens and changes in the structure of consumption were identified. The article also suggests measures to protect against the negative consequences of inflation both from the state and at the individual level. The results of the study emphasize the importance of understanding the mechanisms of inflation and its impact on the household economy, and recommend the implementation of strategies to minimize the risks associated with inflationary processes.
The main aim of the study is to investigate the impact of inflation targeting (IT) strategy in Turkey during 2002-2022, which was adopted in a three-year period of 2002-2004, on macroeconomic performance (actual inflation, exchange and interest rates) and economic growth of Turkey (in terms of the real GDP). The econometric and empirical investigation of this research focusing on the impact of inflation targeting on the selected macroeconomic variables were carried out by the linear squares method (LSM) regression taking the data of the period after implementation of the monetary policy. At this, the independent variable of inflation targeting was estimated against each chosen macroeconomic variable separately in four different models to catch its linear impact on the changes of these variables over the period after implementation of the strategy. The empirical outcomes demonstrated that inflation targeting monetary policy is strong enough to impact the macroeconomic performance of Turkey in terms of reducing inflation rates, boosting economy by pushing real GDP to grow, stabilize exchange rates and lower the nominal interest rates on deposits.
This article examines the specific aspects of econometric modeling in the dynamic and complex conditions of the modern economy. The paper highlights contemporary trends such as the integration of big data, machine learning, and artificial intelligence, which play a crucial role in forecasting the impacts of inflation, unemployment, climate change, and pandemics. The methodology employs a systematic literature review, drawing on scientific articles from the Scopus, Web of Science, and ResearchGate databases over the last five years (2020-2025). The results indicate that ML-hybrid models enhance forecast accuracy (with reductions in RMSE and MAE), although the adverse effects of climate change and data uncertainty pose significant challenges. The conclusions and recommendations propose increasing the robustness of models in policy formulation, strengthening interdisciplinary collaboration, and implementing ethical standards, thereby contributing to sustainable development and economic recovery.
This article examines the role and significance of the exchange rate in ensuring macroeconomic stability in Uzbekistan. The focus is on the economic consequences arising from changes in the national currency’s exchange rate, particularly on inflation levels, the balance of foreign trade, and economic growth. The study analyzes the Central Bank's currency policy, methods of managing foreign exchange reserves in the national economy, and factors affecting external economic activities. The article reviews the volatility of the exchange rate and its impact on economic stability based on international experiences, offering effective mechanisms that can be applied in the context of Uzbekistan. This article holds theoretical and practical significance for specialists, researchers, and public administration representatives dealing with currency policy and macroeconomic stability.
This article examines the formation of local budgets as an important stage of the financial strategy. At the same time, an analysis of the formation of income and expenses of the local budget of the Jizzakh region for 2024 was carried out. Proposals were made to improve the efficiency of local government bodies in the formation of the local budget.
This article examines the impact of monetary policy on external economic equilibrium, with a particular focus on Uzbekistan’s trade balance. The findings indicate that monetary policy instruments affect the trade balance differently in the short and long run. The study emphasizes the need to coordinate monetary policy with trade and structural reforms.
In the article discusses the role of money supply and its regulation by the state in the context of the digital economy. It is emphasized that the expansion of electronic money will affect monetary aggregates and also lead to the need for monetary policy coordination. The regulation of money supply by the state is highlighted as essential for controlling inflation, ensuring financial stability, and integrating digital financial instruments. The classification of money aggregates into MO, M1, M2, and M3 and their role in the economy are also analyzed.
This article provides forecasts for global and domestic economic growth, inflation, employment, investment, and other macroeconomic developments. This article analyzes the expected economic developments in 2025, including forecasts and analyses made by economists. It also considers how economic policy, world trade, and technological innovations are expected to affect economic development. The article provides economic analysis and views on global crises, sustainable growth strategies, job creation, and ways to ensure economic stability. The macroeconomic forecasts for 2025 discuss interstate cooperation, the renewal of the global economy, and the economic impact of new technologies.
The article studies the impact of human capital on the economic development of the country. It is shown that investments in human capital, attention to education and healthcare, as well as reforms implemented by the state, are a reliable way to increase the income of the population. The study also analyzed the changes in total per capita income in each region. At the end of the article, the impact of human capital development on macroeconomicindicators such as population income, unemployment, inflation in the country is expressed, and proposals and recommendations are given for the development of human capital
The article discusses the risks faced by commercial banks in their daily activities, which can negatively affect the financial condition and stability of banks. Banks face several types of risks in their activities. For this purpose, financial, operational, strategic, reputational, legal, international, natural disaster and environmental risks, medical and health, security, cost, technological risks are studied, and the requirements developed by the Basel Committee for studying the risks of banks are also studied.
