SCENARIO ECONOMETRIC FORECASTS OF EXPORT DYNAMICS OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN BASED ON A VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODEL
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877X-2024-vol2-iss2-pp625-633Abstract
The paper presents a systematic review of the literature on modeling export
dynamics based on vector autoregressions, as well as the results of econometric modeling and
scenario-based forecasts of export dynamics of the Republic of Uzbekistan based on a vector error
correction model. In conclusion, recommendations are provided to ensure an increase in the volume
of exports of the republic, taking into account external risks and internal macroeconomic factors
Keywords:
vector autoregression error correction model export macroeconomic variables scenario forecastsReferences
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