PROSPECTS FOR ATTRACTING FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO UZBEKISTAN UNTIL 2030

Abstract

This article is devoted to assessing the prospects for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) to Uzbekistan until 2030 in the context of accelerating structural modernization of the economy, expanding public-private partnerships, the growth of the "green" agenda, and the deepening of digital reforms. The purpose of the study is to identify factors that determine not only the quantitative scale of capital inflow but also its qualitative contribution to productivity, technological renewal, export diversification, and the formation of local value chains. The methodological framework combines comparative-institutional, structural, and problem-oriented analysis of official and analytical materials from 2022-2025. Based on a literature review, it is shown that for developing and transition economies, the sustainable effect of FDI depends on the quality of institutions, the predictability of the regulatory environment, the depth of the financial market, and the state's ability to link investment policy with industrial, innovation, and infrastructure strategies. It is established that Uzbekistan possesses significant competitive This article is devoted to assessing the prospects for attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) to Uzbekistan until 2030 in the context of accelerating structural modernization of the economy, expanding public-private partnerships, the growth of the "green" agenda, and the deepening of digital reforms. The purpose of the study is to identify factors that determine not only the quantitative scale of capital inflow but also its qualitative contribution to productivity, technological renewal, export diversification, and the formation of local value chains. The methodological framework combines comparative-institutional, structural, and problem-oriented analysis of official and analytical materials from 2022-2025. Based on a literature review, it is shown that for developing and transition economies, the sustainable effect of FDI depends on the quality of institutions, the predictability of the regulatory environment, the depth of the financial market, and the state's ability to link investment policy with industrial, innovation, and infrastructure strategies. It is established that Uzbekistan possesses significant competitive