The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the impact of macroeconomic indicators on the standard of living and well-being of the population. Using the example of the economy of Uzbekistan, the impact of macroeconomic changes observed during 2020-2024 on the level of well-being of the population is analyzed, and existing problems and proposals for their elimination are developed.
The article examines the issues of improving the methodological foundations for assessing the effectiveness of fiscal policy and their application in the practice of Uzbekistan. In particular, the theoretical foundations of evaluating fiscal policy as well as the possibilities of using traditional and modern methods in determining its effectiveness are analyzed. Specifically, the study considers the composite index of effectiveness based on macroeconomic indicators (MSSI – Macroeconomic Stability and Sustainability Index), the sectoral cost–effectiveness evaluation model (DEA – Data Envelopment Analysis), the elasticity method for assessing the impact of tax policy on GDP, behavioral models based on the Laffer curve, and the performance-based assessment of social expenditure efficiency (PBB – Performance-Based Budgeting). Using Uzbekistan as a case study, these methodological approaches were applied and analyzed, which made it possible to identify the strengths and weaknesses of fiscal policy and to outline prospective directions for its improvement.
In today’s globalization era, the level of income within an economic system is one of the key factors determining a country’s economic growth. In addition, income directly affects the population’s living standards, production efficiency, and labor productivity. This article analyzes the theoretical foundations and different methods for assessing income growth, and examines recent years’ income growth trends based on major macroeconomic indicators
The article presents an analysis of direct and indirect relationships of macroeconomic factors affecting the rating of commercial banks. They used various criteria such as R-squared, mean squared error (MSE) and sum of squared cross-validation predictions (Cp) to determine the most significant data set, i.e. parsimonious variables, in determining their level of influence.
This study is devoted to the analysis of the current state of practice in Uzbekistan in improving the methodology for forecasting direct taxes. The study studied the current mechanisms of forecasting processes for the main direct taxes, such as profit tax, personal income tax, and property and land taxes. Based on statistical analysis, comparative assessment, and economic modeling methods, factors affecting the accuracy and stability of forecast indicators were assessed. The impact of macroeconomic indicators, tax base expansion, and tax administration digitization processes on the quality of forecasting was also revealed. Based on the results of the study, scientific and practical proposals and conclusions were developed aimed at using modern economic and mathematical models in forecasting accurate tax revenues, improving the information base, and strengthening the institutional approach
This article focuses on analyzing the growth of China's industry during the period from 1992 to 2023 and calculating its forecast for the next 5 years. The aim of the article is to examine the short-term and long-term relationships between China's industrial development and the economic indicators of the selected factors. A quantitative method was applied in the study. To analyze the industry that characterizes economic development and the macroeconomic factors influencing this indicator, econometric time series models were used, including OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) and VAR.
In recent years, the intensification of global financial instability has posed significant challenges to banking markets. In response, commercial banks have placed particular emphasis on enhancing their resilience to economic fluctuations. According to expert forecasts, activity in the global banking sector is expected to increase substantially in 2025–2026. Notably, inflation in the Eurozone in 2024 is projected to be around 2.3% instead of the previously forecast 2.7%. Financial stability, however, remains tied to moderate growth prospects. Various models typically chosen or approved by regulators are used to assess banks’ stability. Contemporary research focuses on improving existing methodologies and financial stability indicators in light of changes in the global macroeconomic environment, raising capital adequacy requirements for banks, and enhancing tools for forecasting their future performance. At the same time, the adoption of new technologies and financial instruments is accelerating banks’ digital transformation and the automation of their business processes. This article offers a comprehensive study of the means and mechanisms for ensuring the financial stability of commercial banks in Uzbekistan. Its primary objective is to analyze the state of the banking sector and identify ways to strengthen its resilience, drawing on global best practices and national specificities. To achieve this, both scientific-pedagogical methods (historical-comparative analysis, structural-logical research) and empirical approaches (statistics from regulatory documents and bank reports, expert surveys) are employed.
The article examines the impact of digital ecosystems on supply chain finance of logistics companies using quarterly data sources from 10 continental European countries for the period 2018-2022 with a total of 200 economic indicators observations based on World Bank data. The results showed that digital parameters have a significant correlation effect on the return on investment (ROI), especially in logistics operations in European regions.
Today, there is an increasing need for scientific research that will lay the foundation for improving the mechanisms of using tourist and recreational facilities in order to further develop the tourism sector in the world, increase its share in macroeconomic indicators, and provide the population with new jobs in the regions of the country. In this regard, this article analyzes the role of the marketing approach in the development of the tourism services market in the regions of the country.
This article analyzes the essence and effectiveness of the economic reforms carried out in Uzbekistan in recent years. The study examines the dynamics of the country’s main macroeconomic indicators like gross domestic product, inflation, export volume, inflow of foreign investments, and the processes of digitalization during the period from 2010 to 2024