IQTISODIY O‘SISH, TO‘G‘RIDAN-TO‘G‘RI XORIJIY INVESTITSIYALAR VA SAVDO OCHIQLIGI: O‘ZBEKISTON UCHUN SABAB-OQIBAT TAHLILI
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp604-612Annotasiya
Ushbu tadqiqot 1997–2023-yillar davrida O‘zbekistonda to‘g‘ridan-to‘g‘ri xorijiy investitsiyalar (TXI), iqtisodiy o‘sish va savdo ochiqligi o‘rtasidagi sabab-oqibat munosabatlarini o‘rganadi. Kengaytirilgan Dikkey-Fuller (ADF) testiga ko‘ra barcha ko‘rsatkichlar birinchi tartibli integrallashgan, ya’ni I(1) ekanligi aniqlangan. Yohansen kointegratsiya testi esa ko‘rib chiqilayotgan o‘zgaruvchilar o‘rtasida kamida ikkita uzoq muddatli kointegratsiya vektorining mavjudligini tasdiqlaydi. Qisqa va uzoq muddatdagi sababiy aloqalarni tekshirish uchun Vektor xatolikni tuzatish modeli (VECM) qo‘llanilgan. Natijalar TXI, iqtisodiy o‘sish va savdo ochiqligi o‘rtasida har ikkala vaqt momentida ham ikki tomonlama (bi-yo‘nalishli) munosabat mavjudligini ko‘rsatadi. Ushbu natijalar savdo liberallashuvi va investitsiya muhiti bo‘yicha siyosatlarning iqtisodiy o‘sish, TXI oqimlari va savdo hajmining bir vaqtning o‘zida o‘sishini rag‘batlantirishi mumkinligini anglatadi. Tadqiqot O‘zbekistonning makroiqtisodiy barqarorligi va uzoq muddatli rivojlanishini ta’minlash uchun savdo va investitsiya siyosatini uyg‘unlashtirish bo‘yicha amaliy tavsiyalarni ilgari suradi.
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iqtisodiy o‘sish to‘g‘ridan-to‘g‘ri xorijiy investitsiyalar (TXI) savdo ochiqligiBibliografik manbalar
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